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Boris Johnson to set out England’s final Covid lockdown easing

Boris Johnson at a BBQ for National Thank You Day at Downing Street

Downing Street/Flickr

Boris Johnson is expected to confirm later he is confident the majority of the remaining Covid restrictions in England can be lifted from 19 July.

Making face masks voluntary and ending the 1m-plus social distancing rule and QR code sign-ins at restaurants will be among the PM’s announcements.

He said people must “learn to live with this virus” and “exercise judgement”.

Infections are expected to rise when rules are eased but ministers believe deaths will be limited by vaccinations.

The fourth and final stage of the government’s roadmap out lockdown in England was delayed last month to no earlier than 19 July.

Among the restrictions currently in force are the “rule of six” for gatherings, table service in pubs and restaurants, capacity limits in theatres and cinemas, and the closure of nightclubs.

Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are in charge of their own coronavirus rules, and the Scottish government has suggested it may retain some basic measures, including wearing masks, at its next review in August.

The chairman of the British Medical Association, Dr Chaand Nagpaul, said it “makes no sense” to stop wearing face coverings in enclosed public spaces amid a rising number of cases of the Delta variant.

He told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: “We know that face masks are proven to reduce spread of this infection” and “can’t understand why – at a time where there are ‘exceptional high levels of cases’ – we would “knowingly want people to become infected”.

In comments released by Downing Street before the prime minister gives his update at a 17:00 BST news conference, Mr Johnson said he “must stress that the pandemic is not over and that cases will continue to rise over the coming weeks”.

But praising the successful vaccine rollout, he said he would “set out how we can restore people’s freedoms”, adding: “As we begin to learn to live with this virus, we must all continue to carefully manage the risks from Covid and exercise judgement when going about our lives.”

Downing Street said step four would go ahead in two weeks’ time only if the government’s “four tests” for easing curbs had been met.

The verdict on those tests – on the jab rollout, vaccine effectiveness, hospital admissions, and new virus variants – would only be confirmed on 12 July following a review of the latest data, No 10 said.

The findings of reviews on the use of Covid certification – or vaccine passports – and on social-distancing measures are also due to be announced by Mr Johnson.

It is understood the restriction banning pub-goers from ordering a drink directly at the bar will be dropped.

However, Downing Street stressed that rules against travel to high-risk countries, the requirement to isolate if people test positive, as well as surge and community Covid testing programmes would continue in future.

Health Secretary Sajid Javid will be updating MPs on the changes in the Commons at the same time as Mr Johnson holds his press conference at Downing Street.

‘Personal responsibility’

Behavioural psychologist Prof Stephen Reicher, one of the scientists advising the government, expressed concern about the plans to allow face mask wearing to become voluntary.

He told Today: “We need very clear messaging and I think in certain spaces – crowded, badly ventilated spaces – masks are crucial mitigation,” adding that the government needed to provide “support and proportionate mitigations to keep us safe. Along with the vaccine, that’s the way out”.

Paul Nowak, deputy general secretary of the Trades Union Congress, said it was “vital” people returning to work places have confidence that locations are as Covid-secure as possible.

“I just don’t think it is acceptable for the government to simply outsource its responsibilities to individuals and to individual employers,” he said. “Personal responsibility will have a role to play, but government cannot just wash its hands of this issue.”

Meanwhile, shadow health secretary Jonathan Ashworth urged the government to confirm “what level of mortality and cases of long Covid” it considers acceptable.

“Letting cases rise with no action means further pressure on the NHS, more sickness, disruption to education – and risks a new variant emerging with a selection advantage,” he warned.

Stephen Powis, the National Medical Director for NHS England, said infections were currently rising but hospital rates were not increasing at the same rate as previous peaks and “things are looking very good”.

He told BBC Breakfast the NHS was “well used to coping with pressures, we do it every year and every winter. So we are prepared.”

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Analysis box by Nick Triggle, health correspondent

From the start of the pandemic, the single most important measure for controlling Covid was getting people to isolate when they had symptoms.

It’s why so many have urged the government to do more to support people financially when they do so.

Everything else from mask-wearing and social distancing to contract tracing was about marginal gains on top.

As we learnt more about the ability of the virus to spread before symptoms developed or among those who were asymptomatic those marginal gains became more important.

But alongside isolating when ill, the new tool in the fight against Covid is, of course, vaccination.

Not only do the vaccines protect you, they protect others by curbing spread by cutting your chances of being infected in the first place and your risk of passing on the virus if you do become infected.

With high vaccination uptake, all those other measures are much less important than they once were.

That’s why ministers feel they can ditch many of them – and in doing so become arguably the first nation to relax restrictions on this scale with infections rising and attempt to learn to live with Covid.

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The review of social-distancing measures has been of particular interest to the hospitality industry, which says many venues are unable to operate profitably under restrictions on capacity and table service rules.

The findings of a review into Covid certification are also expected. The use of certificates to prove a person’s Covid vaccination or test status has been welcomed by some travel industry bosses and leading sports bodies – but the concept has raised concerns over discrimination and privacy.

Separately, the PM will give further details on the future of care home visits. At the moment, care home residents in England can choose up to five people who can visit regularly, but no more than two people should visit at one time or in one day.

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No mention of schools or isolation

Analysis box by Chris Mason, political correspondent

The government’s so-called roadmap for unlocking in England was first published in February.

The anticipated dates for the easing of restrictions were all met.

All, that is, apart from the final one, which was due to happen a fortnight ago on 21 June and is now expected to happen on 19 July, a fortnight from Monday.

A final decision will be taken in a week’s time, after a review of the latest data.

Boris Johnson is expected to host a news conference at 17:00 BST and Health Secretary Sajid Javid will make a Commons statement at around the same time.

Many of the remaining restrictions in England look set to be swept away.

But he’s not expected to address self isolation, the rules in schools, or travel restrictions.

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Chart comparing the current rate of infections to the rate in autumn last year

Chart comparing the current rate of hospitalisations to the rate in autumn last year

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It comes as a further 24,248 new coronavirus cases were reported in the UK on Sunday, alongside another 15 deaths within 28 days of a positive test.

More than 63% of the UK adult population has now received a second vaccine dose, with 86% having now received at least a first dose, latest figures showed.

No 10 has said the government is ensuring preparations are in place to offer third “booster” doses to everyone aged over 50 and the most vulnerable over the winter months.

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